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OpenAI’s o3 AI model scores lower on a benchmark than the company initially implied


A discrepancy between first- and third-party benchmark results for OpenAIโ€™s o3 AI model is raising questions about the companyโ€™s transparency and model testing practices.

When OpenAI unveiled o3 in December, the company claimed the model could answer just over a fourth of questions on FrontierMath, a challenging set of math problems. That score blew the competition away โ€” the next-best model managed to answer only around 2% of FrontierMath problems correctly.

โ€œToday, all offerings out there have less than 2% [on FrontierMath],โ€ Mark Chen, chief research officer at OpenAI, said during a livestream. โ€œWeโ€™re seeing [internally], with o3 in aggressive test-time compute settings, weโ€™re able to get over 25%.โ€

As it turns out, that figure was likely an upper bound, achieved by a version of o3 with more computing behind it than the model OpenAI publicly launched last week.

Epoch AI, the research institute behind FrontierMath, released results of its independent benchmark tests of o3 on Friday. Epoch found that o3 scored around 10%, well below OpenAIโ€™s highest claimed score.

That doesnโ€™t mean OpenAI lied, per se. The benchmark results the company published in December show a lower-bound score that matches the score Epoch observed. Epoch also noted its testing setup likely differs from OpenAIโ€™s, and that it used an updated release of FrontierMath for its evaluations.

โ€œThe difference between our results and OpenAIโ€™s might be due to OpenAI evaluating with a more powerful internal scaffold, using more test-time [computing], or because those results were run on a different subset of FrontierMath (the 180 problems in frontiermath-2024-11-26 vs the 290 problems in frontiermath-2025-02-28-private),โ€ wrote Epoch.

According to a post on X from the ARC Prize Foundation, an organization that tested a pre-release version of o3, the public o3 model โ€œis a different model [โ€ฆ] tuned for chat/product use,โ€ corroborating Epochโ€™s report.

โ€œAll released o3 compute tiers are smaller than the version we [benchmarked],โ€ wrote ARC Prize. Generally speaking, bigger compute tiers can be expected to achieve better benchmark scores.

OpenAIโ€™s own Wenda Zhou, a member of the technical staff, said during a livestream last week that the o3 in production is โ€œmore optimized for real-world use casesโ€ and speed versus the version of o3 demoed in December. As a result, it may exhibit benchmark โ€œdisparities,โ€ he added.

โ€œ[W]eโ€™ve done [optimizations] to make the [model] more cost efficient [and] more useful in general,โ€ Zhou said. โ€œWe still hope that โ€” we still think that โ€” this is a much better model [โ€ฆ] You wonโ€™t have to wait as long when youโ€™re asking for an answer, which is a real thing with these [types of] models.โ€

Granted, the fact that the public release of o3 falls short of OpenAIโ€™s testing promises is a bit of a moot point, since the companyโ€™s o3-mini-high and o4-mini models outperform o3 on FrontierMath, and OpenAI plans to debut a more powerful o3 variant, o3-pro, in the coming weeks.

It is, however, another reminder that AI benchmarks are best not taken at face value โ€” particularly when the source is a company with services to sell.

Benchmarking โ€œcontroversiesโ€ are becoming a common occurrence in the AI industry as vendors race to capture headlines and mindshare with new models.

In January, Epoch was criticized for waiting to disclose funding from OpenAI until after the company announced o3. Many academics who contributed to FrontierMath werenโ€™t informed of OpenAIโ€™s involvement until it was made public.

More recently, Elon Muskโ€™s xAI was accused of publishing misleading benchmark charts for its latest AI model, Grok 3. Just this month, Meta admitted to touting benchmark scores for a version of a model that differed from the one the company made available to developers.

Updated 4:21 p.m. Pacific: Added comments from Wenda Zhou, a member of the OpenAI technical staff, from a livestream last week.





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